Alejandro Tabilo vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑAlejandro Tabilo
#30 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 0โ5

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7TitleAlejandro Tabilo and Carlos Alcaraz have met 2 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2021 on clay. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tabilo has taken 0 sets to Alcaraz's 5. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tabilo | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Tabilo | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 18/36 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/40 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 18/36 | 82% | 18/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tabilo 0, Alcaraz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
๐ค Servebot
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
May 31, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tabilo | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Tabilo | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ10 | 11โ1 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.15 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +4.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | GBR โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Tabilo's 40%).
| Opponent | Tabilo | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 63 67 46 | W 76 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 57 63 46 | W |
| Alex Michelsen | L 63 36 46 | W 76 46 61 |
| Tommy Paul | W 61 62 | W 64 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 75 64 | L 76 16 36 61 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 26 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 62 67 63 | W 76 63 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 64 46 | W 76 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 57 16 | W 62 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 64 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tommy Paul
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP ยท Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yannick Hanfmann
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ72 matches
| Metric | Tabilo | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 86% |
| Sets won | 52% | 78% |
| Games won | 52% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tabilo | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tabilo | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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