Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πͺπΈAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
Title3 meetings Β· sets 0β6

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2022; Sebastian Korda leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 2β0. Korda has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 0 sets to Korda's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Korda 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
π― Baseliner
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π― Baseliner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 9, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | - |
| ROI % | +40.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 7 | β |
| Distance | 3,172 mi Β· 5,105 km | β |
| Route | CHN β JPN β CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 46 76 | W 75 61 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | W 64 63 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 67 63 26 75 63 | W 46 63 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 64 46 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | W 46 62 62 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 76 62 | L 46 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 62 | W 76 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 62 57 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β52 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 66% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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