Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πͺπΈAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
6w3 meetings Β· sets 0β6

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wAlejandro Davidovich Fokina and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2022; Sebastian Korda leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 2β0. Korda has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 0 sets to Korda's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Korda 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
π― Baseliner
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π― Baseliner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 9, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Mar 24, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | - |
| ROI % | +2.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | W 64 75 | W 75 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 67 | W 64 63 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 67 63 26 75 63 | W 46 63 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 64 46 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | W 46 62 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | W 60 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 76 62 | L 46 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag Β· 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Semifinals
Jun 26
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β49 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 64% |
| Sets won | 60% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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