Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
6w2 meetings · sets 4–3
🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini
#43 · 30 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Berrettini have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2021 on clay. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Berrettini's 3. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 13, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 63 63 | L 36 46 63 75 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 76 62 63 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 64 64 76 | W 63 76 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | W 76 67 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 64 | L 57 25 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 16 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | L 67 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | L 67 26 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–49 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 60% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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