Adam Walton vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2026; Adam Walton leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open presented by Itau in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Walton leads 2–0. Walton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 4 sets to Baez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 29/42 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 24/75 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 38/46 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 29/46 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 2, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 5, 2026
Miami Open presented by Itau
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Walton's 40%).
| Opponent | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | L 57 26 | W 75 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | L 57 57 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 75 36 | W 64 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 57 67 | W 64 60 |
| Jaime Faria | L 64 46 67 | L 57 16 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | L 36 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 26 75 62 | W 63 36 64 |
| Federico Bondioli | W 61 75 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–80 matches
| Metric | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 54% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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