Adam Walton vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2026; Adam Walton leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open presented by Itau in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Walton leads 2–0. Walton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Walton has taken 4 sets to Baez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 2, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 5, 2026
Miami Open presented by Itau
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Walton's 40%).
| Opponent | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 75 36 | W 64 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Jaime Faria | L 64 46 67 | L 57 16 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 63 76 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 36 57 | W 75 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 26 75 62 | W 63 36 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | L 57 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 16 61 16 64 | L 46 06 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 62 57 26 02 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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