Adam Walton vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2025; Adam Walton leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Walton has taken 5 sets to Medvedev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 25/76 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 20/39 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 15/32 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 16/37 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 29/47 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adam Walton.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.74u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Walton's 40%).
| Opponent | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 57 67 | W 63 67 63 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 46 | W 76 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 64 | W 75 62 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 62 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | W 62 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 16 | W 61 62 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 63 | W 16 64 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 62 | W 64 60 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 76 57 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Moise Kouame
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Binda
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Hikaru Shiraishi
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Valentin Royer
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yibing Wu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–81 matches
| Metric | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 72% |
| Sets won | 52% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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