Adam Walton vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2025; Adam Walton leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Walton has taken 5 sets to Medvedev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Adam Walton won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Walton | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adam Walton | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 24/68 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 13/33 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 14/30 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 15/34 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 22/38 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Walton 0, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Walton
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 26, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Walton | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adam Walton | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 25/25 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 22/25 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 5/25 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -1.9% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.43u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Walton's 40%).
| Opponent | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 62 64 | W 75 62 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 46 | W 62 61 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 76 67 36 | W 61 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 64 | W 62 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 46 16 | W 61 62 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 57 | W 63 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 63 | W 16 64 75 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 26 46 | W 67 63 61 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 62 | W 64 60 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 67 26 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Jesper de Jong
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Ignacio Buse
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jenson Brooksby
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–72 matches
| Metric | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 70% |
| Sets won | 49% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Walton | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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