Sebastian Korda vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29w2 meetings Β· sets 1β4

π«π·Ugo Humbert
#32 Β· 28 yrs Β· L
Sebastian Korda and Ugo Humbert have met 2 times since 2021; Ugo Humbert leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Noventi Open - Halle in 2021 on grass. Humbert has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Korda has taken 1 sets to Humbert's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korda | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Korda | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 14/32 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 6/6 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Korda 0, Humbert 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Humbert
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2025
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 18, 2021
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Korda | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2β5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.05 |
| ROI % | - | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korda | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 3 |
| Distance | β | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | β | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Humbert's 33%).
| Opponent | Korda | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W | L 75 46 46 |
| Michael Zheng | W 63 64 | L 46 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 | L 36 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 75 | W 63 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 64 46 46 | L 46 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 63 76 | L 57 76 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W 46 62 62 | L 26 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 46 67 | W 63 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 26 36 | W 67 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 33β56 matches
| Metric | Korda | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Korda | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Korda | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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