Sebastian Korda vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Korda and Tomas Machac have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Eckental Challenger in 2020 on carpet. Across all meetings Korda has taken 2 sets to Machac's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korda | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Korda | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 14/32 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 6/6 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Korda 1, Machac 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Sebastian Korda and Tomas Machac are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 2, 2020
Eckental Challenger
? Carpet · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Korda | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.95 |
| ROI % | - | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korda | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Machac's 50%).
| Opponent | Korda | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Comesana | W 75 60 | W 36 76 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 76 61 | L 16 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 06 75 57 | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W | L 46 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–33 matches
| Metric | Korda | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 48% |
| Sets won | 63% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Korda | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Korda | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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