Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Barrios VeraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Tomas Barrios Vera have met 5 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 4–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Baez leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Baez has taken 9 sets to Vera's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Barrios Vera won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Barrios Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/60 | 32% | 20/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 2, Barrios Vera 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Vera
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2023
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 16, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
May 14, 2021
Zagreb Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 21, 2021
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| 1 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -68.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -6.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX → USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Vera's 17%).
| Opponent | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 64 63 | L 67 26 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 75 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | L 16 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 61 | L 57 36 |
| Cristian Garin | W 76 16 75 | L 64 46 16 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 67 46 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Dylan Dietrich
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Niels Visker
Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilia Simakin
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Marco Cecchinato
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Paul Jubb
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Benjamin Bonzi
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–64 matches
| Metric | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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