Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Barrios VeraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Tomas Barrios Vera have met 5 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 4–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Baez leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Baez has taken 9 sets to Vera's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Barrios Vera won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Barrios Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 6/27 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/61 | 37% | 25/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 88% | 35/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 65% | 26/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 2, Barrios Vera 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Vera
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Sebastian Baez and Tomas Barrios Vera are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 142 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 3, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2023
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 16, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
May 14, 2021
Zagreb Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 21, 2021
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Vera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Tomas Barrios Vera | ||
| 1 or more | 65% | 13/20 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 6/20 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.05u | -2.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Vera's 29%).
| Opponent | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 64 63 | L 67 26 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 64 63 | W 62 76 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 75 63 | L 62 46 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | L 16 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 61 | L 57 36 |
| Cristian Garin | W 76 16 75 | L 64 46 16 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 67 46 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Miguel Tobon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Franco Roncadelli
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Juan Bautista Torres
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Daniel Rincon
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–70 matches
| Metric | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 54% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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