Sebastian Baez vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Thiago Monteiro have met 6 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 5–1. Baez has won the last 3 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Baez leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Baez has taken 11 sets to Monteiro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 15/28 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 3, Monteiro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 218 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 23, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 25, 2022
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2022
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 21, 2021
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Final
Oct 24, 2021
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -17.4% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.95u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | CHN | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Monteiro's 0%).
| Opponent | Baez | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 62 76 | L 64 36 67 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 57 16 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–65 matches
| Metric | Baez | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 5 | 1 |
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