Roberto Bautista Agut vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Roberto Bautista Agut and Tommy Paul have met 7 times since 2021; Tommy Paul leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Agut leads 2–1. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. Paul has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Agut has taken 7 sets to Paul's 10. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bautista Agut | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Bautista Agut | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 7/9 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 7/24 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 7/10 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 7/11 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bautista Agut 3, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 7, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Jan 23, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Nov 1, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 11, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 11, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Agut | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Bautista Agut | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -77.0% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.85u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Agut's 0%).
| Opponent | Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | L 46 67 | W 64 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 46 36 | L 26 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 26 46 | W 62 36 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 76 36 36 | W 61 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 46 | L 57 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 36 67 | L 67 63 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–51 matches
| Metric | Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 69% |
| Sets won | 36% | 64% |
| Games won | 46% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Agut | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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