Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima
#19 · 25 yrs · R
34 meetings · sets 5–4
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#243 · 38 yrs · R
15wBrandon Nakashima and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle in 2023 on grass. On clay courts Nakashima leads 2–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Agut's 4. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Bautista Agut 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 9, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +27.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Agut's 17%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 75 | L |
| Titouan Droguet | W 46 62 75 | L 16 61 16 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | L 67 57 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | L 16 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 16 | W 64 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 32% |
| Sets won | 59% | 36% |
| Games won | 53% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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