Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Brandon Nakashima
#17 · 25 yrs · R
34 meetings · sets 5–4
🇪🇸Roberto Bautista Agut
#230 · 38 yrs · R
9wBrandon Nakashima and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle in 2023 on grass. On clay courts Nakashima leads 2–1. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 5 sets to Agut's 4. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Bautista Agut 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 9, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 13 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Agut's 14%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | W 46 62 75 | L 16 61 16 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 63 63 | L 26 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 16 | L 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 67 | L 64 26 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | L 16 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 16 | W 64 67 64 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 75 63 | L 46 76 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 32% |
| Sets won | 59% | 36% |
| Games won | 53% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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