Rafael Nadal vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rafael Nadal and Taylor Fritz have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 2–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Nadal has taken 5 sets to Fritz's 6. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Nitto ATP Finals (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nadal | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rafael Nadal | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 56% | 20/36 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 35% | 7/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 41% | 23/56 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 36% | 18/50 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 67% | 4/6 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 22/35 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 90% | 28/31 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 20/31 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nadal 1, Fritz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 13, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 6, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 20, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Mar 1, 2020
Acapulco
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nadal | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.44 |
| ROI % | - | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nadal | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–68 matches
| Metric | Nadal | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 65% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nadal | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nadal | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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