Mitchell Krueger vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMitchell Krueger
#354 Β· 32 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 4β3

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wMitchell Krueger and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2019; Mitchell Krueger leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Charlottesville in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Krueger leads 2β0. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 4 sets to Korda's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Roland Garros (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mitchell Krueger | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 5/23 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 1, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
πΉ Frontrunner
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
πΉ Frontrunner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 5, 2020
Indian Wells Challenger
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Oct 30, 2019
Charlottesville
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | - |
| ROI % | -44.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | JAM | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Krueger's 0%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 36 61 67 | W 76 64 |
| Michael Zheng | L 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 62 26 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Alex Martinez
Lincoln Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 13
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Gavin Young
M25 Dallas Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Oliver Okonkwo
M25 Dallas Β· 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Aleksandar Mitric
M25 Dallas Β· 1st Round
Jul 8
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β46 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 64% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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