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Head-to-Head

Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Matteo Berrettini

🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini

#46 · 30 yrs · R

3–2

5 meetings · sets 8–4

Ugo Humbert

🇫🇷Ugo Humbert

#32 · 28 yrs · L

Matteo Berrettini and Ugo Humbert have met 5 times since 2017; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Brest in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 3–2. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 8 sets to Humbert's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorBerrettiniHumbert
Wins in straight sets67%77%
Wins a set when losing32%50%
Goes to a deciding set33%35%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite38%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%70%
Tiebreak sets won50%70%
Wins after taking set 189%85%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 1, Humbert 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Berrettini

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Humbert

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

Both Matteo Berrettini and Ugo Humbert are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Oct 16, 2025

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm

H Hard · 2nd Round

657
36
Humbert

Aug 29, 2023

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 1st Round

64
62
62
Berrettini

Jan 4, 2022

ATP Cup - Sydney

H Hard · Round Robin

64
766
Berrettini

Sep 3, 2020

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
64
766
Berrettini

Oct 16, 2017

Brest

H Hard · Round of 16

36
06
Humbert

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeBerrettiniHumbert
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%100%
5 or more78%43%
10 or more56%0%
15 or more33%0%
20 or more11%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricBerrettiniHumbert
W-L4–52–5
Avg odds1.822.05
ROI %-25.1%-42.7%
Units P/L-2.26u-2.99u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricBerrettiniHumbert
Countries22
Events22
Matches43
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteJPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Humbert has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 40%).

OpponentBerrettiniHumbert
Brandon Nakashima
L
67
57
W
63
62
Jiri Lehecka
L
46
76
36
L
75
46
46
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
W
16
76
64
W
63
57
76
Quentin Halys
W
62
64
W
63
64
Adrian Mannarino
W
46
75
75
W
63
64
63
Ignacio Buse
L
67
76
46
L
36
75
36
Dino Prizmic
L
36
46
L
16
57
Vit Kopriva
L
46
36
W
63
62
Daniil Medvedev
W
60
60
W
76
36
63
Alex de Minaur
L
16
67
L
46
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Berrettini
LWLWLWLW
L

Brandon Nakashima

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

647
57

Oct 9

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

637
61
64

Oct 7

L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

667
16

Oct 3

W

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
761
64

Oct 1

L

Mariano Navone

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
36
46
647

Sep 3

W

Stan Wawrinka

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

764
763
60

Aug 31

L

Jiri Lehecka

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
763
36

Aug 16

W

Titouan Droguet

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 14

Humbert
LLWLLLLW
L

Arthur Gea

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
63
16

Oct 9

L

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

75
46
46

Oct 3

W

Brandon Nakashima

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

63
62

Oct 1

L

Michael Zheng

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
36

Aug 16

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
36

Aug 6

L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
36

Aug 5

L

Ben Shelton

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

763
36
46

Jul 31

W

Andres Martin

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

62
75

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ BerrettiniBerrettini ahead↓ Humbert

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–56 matches

MetricBerrettiniHumbert
Matches won58%55%
Sets won57%56%
Games won52%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageBerrettiniHumbert
Grand Slam20
ATP 25001
ATP Cup10
ATP Challenger Tour01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceBerrettiniHumbert
Hard32

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Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert FAQ

Matteo Berrettini leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.