Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Ugo Humbert have met 5 times since 2017; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Brest in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 3–2. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 8 sets to Humbert's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ugo Humbert won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 1, Humbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Ugo Humbert are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 29, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 4, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 3, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 16, 2017
Brest
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +2.9% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.20u | -1.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Berrettini and Humbert posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Berrettini | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 46 75 75 | W 63 64 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 67 76 46 | L 36 75 36 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 36 46 | L 16 57 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 36 | W 63 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 60 60 | W 76 36 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 16 67 | L 46 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 67 64 | L 61 67 57 |
| Casper Ruud | L 67 26 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–55 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
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