Matteo Berrettini vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Taylor Fritz have met 4 times since 2021; Taylor Fritz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 4–0. Fritz has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fritz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 1 sets to Fritz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/40 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 0, Fritz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Taylor Fritz are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 27, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Final
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -25.1% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.26u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | L | W 75 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 57 | L 67 64 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 76 76 60 | W 76 26 64 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 76 36 | L 46 76 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 46 46 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | W 76 64 64 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 64 67 76 | W 62 62 75 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 36 64 62 | W 63 64 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 36 46 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–61 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 62% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.