Matteo Berrettini vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Taylor Fritz have met 4 times since 2021; Taylor Fritz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 4–0. Fritz has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fritz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 1 sets to Fritz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 0, Fritz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Taylor Fritz are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 27, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Final
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 15 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 20 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 17% | 4/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +2.9% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.20u | +2.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 40%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 76 36 | L 46 76 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 46 46 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | W 76 64 64 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 64 67 76 | W 62 62 75 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 67 76 76 76 | W 76 26 64 64 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 36 64 62 | W 63 64 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | W 46 76 75 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 36 | W 61 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–68 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 65% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
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