Matteo Berrettini vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Novak Djokovic have met 5 times since 2019; Novak Djokovic leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Nitto ATP Finals in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Djokovic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 5 sets to Djokovic's 11. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 1, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 8, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Jun 9, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 15 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 20 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | +2.9% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.20u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Berrettini and Djokovic posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 36 46 | L 62 26 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 62 | W 63 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–48 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 74% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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