Matteo Berrettini vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Berrettini and Novak Djokovic have met 5 times since 2019; Novak Djokovic leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Nitto ATP Finals in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Djokovic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Berrettini has taken 5 sets to Djokovic's 11. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Berrettini | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Berrettini | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Berrettini 1, Djokovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Matteo Berrettini and Novak Djokovic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 8, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Jun 9, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 10, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Berrettini | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Berrettini | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -25.1% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.26u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Berrettini's 33%).
| Opponent | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 36 46 | L 46 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 67 61 64 | W 64 16 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 16 67 | W |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 60 60 | W |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | W 46 64 64 |
| Mariano Navone | L 63 36 46 67 | L 67 75 64 26 16 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 75 64 16 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 36 26 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 36 46 | L 62 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–49 matches
| Metric | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 71% |
| Sets won | 56% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Berrettini | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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