Maria Sakkari vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 9–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Maria Sakkari and Naomi Osaka have met 6 times since 2018; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–2. Sakkari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sakkari has taken 9 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakkari | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Sakkari | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakkari 3, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 2, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 31, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 7, 2020
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 19, 2019
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Aug 15, 2018
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 8, 2018
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakkari | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Sakkari | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.25u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakkari | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakkari's 13%).
| Opponent | Sakkari | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 16 16 | L 26 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 16 | L 64 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | W 63 62 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 63 46 16 | L 67 46 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 67 46 | W 61 63 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | L 26 06 | W 61 75 |
| Linda Noskova | W 75 76 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–44 matches
| Metric | Sakkari | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 73% |
| Sets won | 47% | 67% |
| Games won | 49% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakkari | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakkari | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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