Liudmila Samsonova vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 5–8
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Liudmila Samsonova and Naomi Osaka have met 5 times since 2024; Naomi Osaka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–0. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 5 sets to Osaka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 12/23 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 17/41 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 17, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 9, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +11.3% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.81u | +2.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Samsonova's 10%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 62 46 16 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 64 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | L 75 57 36 | W 64 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 61 36 06 | W 61 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 26 | W 62 76 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 57 36 | W 61 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 36 64 67 | W 64 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 60 57 46 | W 63 76 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 60 64 | W 63 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–43 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 72% |
| Sets won | 48% | 67% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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