Marcos Giron vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcos Giron and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2018; Tommy Paul leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Aptos in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–2. Paul has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Paul leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Giron has taken 5 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 17/27 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 26/49 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 11/32 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 2, Paul 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2024
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · Final
Aug 11, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 24, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 8, 2019
New Haven
H Hard · Final
Aug 8, 2018
Aptos
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giron | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcos Giron | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -63.9% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -6.39u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Giron's 20%).
| Opponent | Giron | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 63 46 26 | W 64 36 67 61 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 63 36 36 76 16 | L 67 64 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 57 64 26 | W 64 67 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 64 63 67 26 | L 36 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 46 64 75 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 62 | W 61 62 61 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 76 16 46 | W 63 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 57 76 16 | W 46 63 75 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 64 67 46 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches
| Metric | Giron | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 69% |
| Sets won | 48% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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