Marcos Giron vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2023; Sebastian Baez leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Baez leads 2–0. Baez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Giron has taken 2 sets to Baez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Giron | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marcos Giron | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 16/26 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 15/19 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 14/26 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Giron 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marcos Giron.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2026
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 29, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Giron | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marcos Giron | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Giron | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.52 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -46.1% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.53u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Giron | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 737 mi · 1,186 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Giron's 20%).
| Opponent | Giron | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 57 64 26 | L 64 06 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 64 63 67 26 | L 36 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 75 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 76 57 | L 36 16 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 63 57 67 | W 64 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 46 67 | W 75 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 36 62 67 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 63 46 26 | L 16 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 67 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–64 matches
| Metric | Giron | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Giron | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Giron | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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