🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–3
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#16 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Madison Keys and Naomi Osaka have met 4 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 3–1. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at US Open (2018).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Madison Keys and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit — across 6,908 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Keys | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Madison Keys | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Keys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +68.4% | +54.8% |
| Units P/L | +10.94u | +7.67u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Keys and Osaka posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Keys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W | W 64 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 61 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 36 | L |
| Victoria Mboko | W | L 62 46 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W | W 63 36 64 |
| Donna Vekic | W 62 63 | W |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 61 | W 63 76 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | L 26 16 |
| Eva Lys | W 16 63 76 | W 64 46 63 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 64 36 26 | L 76 67 36 |
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Aryna Sabalenka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Iva Jovic
French Open ·
May 30
Donna Vekic
French Open ·
May 28
Laura Siegemund
French Open ·
May 26
Laura Siegemund
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Iva Jovic
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Donna Vekic
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Laura Siegemund
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–42 matches
| Metric | Keys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 71% |
| Sets won | 60% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Keys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Keys | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
