Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Korda have met 6 times since 2021; Lorenzo Sonego leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Open Sud de France - Montpellier in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sonego leads 4–1. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 8 sets to Korda's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 4, Korda 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 10, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 30, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 26, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 24, 2021
Open Sud de France - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | - |
| ROI % | -18.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Sonego's 13%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 46 | W 75 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 36 46 67 | L 76 46 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 62 67 46 | W 63 62 |
| Tommy Paul | L 36 26 46 | W 64 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 26 63 75 | W 76 61 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 46 | L 06 75 57 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 76 06 36 | L 36 46 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | W 46 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 64% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 3 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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