Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2022; Lorenzo Sonego leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 4 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 2, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 12, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 0%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 75 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 62 36 16 | L 36 16 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 62 67 46 | W 63 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 16 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 36 46 67 | W 46 75 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 57 36 | W 75 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | L 46 06 |
| Marcos Giron | L 46 46 | W 61 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–64 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 55% |
| Sets won | 46% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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