Lorenzo Sonego vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2022; Lorenzo Sonego leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 4 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Tennis Napoli Open - Naples (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 2, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Sonego.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 19, 2022
Tennis Napoli Open - Naples
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 12, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -42.4% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.09u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sonego's 10%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | W 63 63 | L 75 36 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 75 57 26 | L 57 57 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 46 61 57 | W 75 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 62 67 46 | W 63 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 26 36 | L 16 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 64 36 46 67 | W 46 75 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 57 36 | W 75 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | L 46 06 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–65 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 54% |
| Sets won | 46% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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