Lorenzo Sonego vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini have met 6 times since 2016; Matteo Berrettini leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Brescia in 2016 on carpet. On grass courts Berrettini leads 2–1. Berrettini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 4 sets to Berrettini's 11. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 8/18 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 9/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 1, Berrettini 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2024
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 12, 2023
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 10, 2022
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2019
Phoenix
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 8, 2016
Brescia
? Carpet · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.57 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -42.4% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.09u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 76 61 | W 67 61 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 26 64 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 63 76 57 46 | L 36 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 61 76 | W 46 75 75 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | L 67 76 46 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 36 67 | W 36 64 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | W 60 60 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–50 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 58% |
| Sets won | 46% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
| Carpet | 0 | 1 |
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