Lorenzo Sonego vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini have met 6 times since 2016; Matteo Berrettini leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Brescia in 2016 on carpet. On grass courts Berrettini leads 2–1. Berrettini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sonego has taken 4 sets to Berrettini's 11. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sonego | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Sonego | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 13/36 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 8/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sonego 1, Berrettini 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Sonego and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2024
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 12, 2023
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 10, 2022
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2019
Phoenix
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 8, 2016
Brescia
? Carpet · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sonego | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Sonego | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.92u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 30%).
| Opponent | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 61 76 | W 46 75 75 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 26 64 | L 36 76 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 46 63 61 | W 63 76 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 36 36 | L 67 76 46 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 36 67 | W 36 64 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 67 46 | W 60 60 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 36 | L 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 64 26 46 | W 76 67 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 76 06 36 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–48 matches
| Metric | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 56% |
| Sets won | 46% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sonego | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
| Carpet | 0 | 1 |
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