Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–1. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 6 sets to Sonego's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 29, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | -2.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Sonego's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 63 | W 61 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 57 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | L 67 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 63 63 | L 46 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 60 57 75 | W 62 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | W 26 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 47% |
| Sets won | 62% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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