Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2024; Lorenzo Musetti leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Musetti leads 2–1. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 6 sets to Sonego's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 29, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | -46.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | -6.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sonego's 40%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 57 | L 46 63 76 57 46 |
| Arthur Fery | W 63 63 75 | W 64 62 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 57 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | L 67 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | W | L 67 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 64 36 46 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 67 62 64 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 60 57 75 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–45 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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