Leylah Fernandez vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Leylah Fernandez and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2021; Naomi Osaka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–1. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 3 sets to Osaka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Leylah Fernandez | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Leylah Fernandez and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 7, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 3, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Leylah Fernandez | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 76 46 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 26 67 | L 46 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 36 64 | W 64 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 36 63 62 | W 76 67 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 06 | W 61 62 |
| Eva Lys | W 64 61 | W 64 46 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 64 | W 63 46 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | L 46 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 64 57 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–51 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 73% |
| Sets won | 49% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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