Karolina Muchova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 3 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Jul 5, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | -0.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Badosa's 40%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | L 36 57 | L 64 36 57 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 46 67 |
| Sinja Kraus | W 63 60 | W 75 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 16 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 64 | W 26 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 36 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 64 | L 46 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–54 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 60% |
| Sets won | 68% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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