Karolina Muchova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKarolina Muchova and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Paula Badosa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 3 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/53 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 1, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Paula Badosa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Jul 5, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | +3.09u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Badosa's 56%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 16 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | W 16 63 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 64 | W 26 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 36 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L 75 26 57 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 64 | L 46 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 36 64 61 | W 63 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 60 63 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–53 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 59% |
| Sets won | 67% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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