Diana Shnaider vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–8
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Paula Badosa have met 5 times since 2023; Paula Badosa leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Badosa leads 3–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 8. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 14, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 27, 2024
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 11, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 15, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 6, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Badosa's 13%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | W 60 64 | L 16 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | L 46 26 |
| Eva Lys | W 75 61 | L 62 57 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 63 63 | L 64 36 57 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | L 26 16 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 36 | L |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 26 75 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 60% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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