Diana Shnaider vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–8
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wDiana Shnaider and Paula Badosa have met 5 times since 2023; Paula Badosa leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Badosa leads 3–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Badosa's 8. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 14, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 27, 2024
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 11, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 15, 2024
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 6, 2023
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +6.25u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Badosa's 25%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | L 46 26 |
| Eva Lys | W 75 61 | L 62 57 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 63 63 | L 64 36 57 |
| Suzan Lamens | L 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | L 26 16 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 26 75 | W 63 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 36 | L 75 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 59% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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