Karolina Muchova vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#8 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#56 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Katie Boulter have met 2 times since 2026; Karolina Muchova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–0. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 4 sets to Boulter's 0. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- China Open - Beijing
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 2 · 3:10 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.11 or shorter, Karolina Muchova has won 31 of 34 (91%). The price implied 88%, so Karolina Muchova has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Katie Boulter meets Karolina Muchova in the second round of the China Open in Beijing on October 2, with the eighth-ranked Czech on hard court. Boulter, ranked 56th, advanced through the opening round and will face an opponent who has not competed in nearly four weeks.
Muchova leads the head-to-head series 2-0. On hard courts recently, Muchova has compiled a 16-4 record with an 80% win rate, while Boulter stands at 13-7 and 65%. Both players have won 60% of their matches over their last five outings, though Muchova's form over a longer sample is sharper: she has won 8 of her last 10 matches compared to Boulter's 3 of 10. Boulter has played once in the past two weeks; Muchova has not taken the court since late August.
Both players operate as big hitters who rely on power and pace from the baseline. Muchova's extended absence raises a question of sharpness and rhythm on the court. Boulter will need to apply consistent pressure and convert opportunities if she is to test Muchova's rust or run into the form that has made the Czech dangerous on this surface.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 26/39 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/51 | 37% | 15/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 2, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Katie Boulter are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,284 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | +10.9% | -27.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.76u | -1.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 6,828 mi · 10,989 km | 6,828 mi · 10,989 km |
| Route | NED → ROU | NED → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Boulter's 40%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 36 36 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 63 62 | L 36 63 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
| Clara Tauson | W 16 62 64 | W |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | W 75 26 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 62 63 | W 61 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | L 75 46 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | L 57 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 46 62 75 | W |
| Belinda Bencic | L 63 57 57 | L 06 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–51 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 51% |
| Sets won | 69% | 51% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |