Karen Khachanov vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Rafael Nadal have met 7 times since 2017; Rafael Nadal leads 7–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Nadal leads 5–0. Nadal has won the last 7 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 3 sets to Nadal's 18. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 8/16 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 6/28 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 26% | 5/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 8/17 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Nadal 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 12, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 14, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 1, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 12, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 5, 2017
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 8, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | - |
| ROI % | +12.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.62u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–49 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | - |
| Sets won | 54% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 4 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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