Karen Khachanov vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Sofia in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–1. On grass courts Berrettini leads 2–0. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 9. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 17/32 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 4/26 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 3/17 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 36% | 5/14 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 1, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Karen Khachanov and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 25, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 16, 2019
Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 9, 2019
Stuttgart
G Grass · Round of 16
Feb 7, 2019
Sofia
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -59.0% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Khachanov's 30%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 26 | W 64 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 46 64 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 63 67 | L 67 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 16 61 26 | L 67 26 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 61 76 | L 36 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 64 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 63 63 | W 40 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 64 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Jaume Munar | L 67 63 36 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–48 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 56% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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