Karen Khachanov vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Sofia in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–1. On grass courts Berrettini leads 2–0. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 9. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 8/16 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 6/28 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 26% | 5/19 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 8/17 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 1, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Karen Khachanov and Matteo Berrettini are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 25, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 16, 2019
Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 9, 2019
Stuttgart
G Grass · Round of 16
Feb 7, 2019
Sofia
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +12.5% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.62u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Khachanov and Berrettini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 62 64 | W 46 75 75 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 75 36 67 | W 67 61 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 67 26 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 46 67 61 64 | L 75 26 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 26 | W 64 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 46 64 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 63 67 | L 67 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 61 76 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–50 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 58% |
| Sets won | 54% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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