Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Juncheng Shang leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shang has taken 2 sets to Baez's 1. Their most recent meeting: Juncheng Shang won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shang | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juncheng Shang | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 2/8 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 4/13 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 20% | 1/5 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shang 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shang
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shang | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juncheng Shang | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shang | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.66 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.87u | -2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shang | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 947 mi · 1,524 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Baez's 0%).
| Opponent | Shang | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | L 64 16 46 | L 46 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 46 76 | L 16 26 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 67 | L 16 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 16 36 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sebastian Baez
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Marco Trungelliti
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–65 matches
| Metric | Shang | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 54% |
| Sets won | 40% | 52% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shang | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shang | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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