Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 7–3

🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Juan Pablo Varillas and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 4 times since 2022; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 3–1. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 7 sets to Almeida's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pablo Varillas | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Pablo Varillas | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 36% | 26/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 6/21 | 49% | 22/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 25/38 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 2, Pucinelli De Almeida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 4, 2025
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 10, 2025
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 11, 2022
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +32.2% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.79u | +0.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | ARG | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Varillas and Almeida posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | L 62 26 36 | W 75 63 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 57 76 63 | L 46 26 |
| Jan Kumstat | W 64 63 | L 46 75 26 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | W 64 64 | L 67 62 57 |
| Dmitry Popko | W 62 46 64 | W 63 46 75 |
| Alan Magadan | L 16 46 | W 61 67 64 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 63 75 | L 63 57 16 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 62 64 | W 62 62 |
| Ryan Dickerson | L 57 36 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–72 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 64% |
| Sets won | 55% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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