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Head-to-Head

Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Juan Pablo Varillas

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas

#232 · 30 yrs · R

4w3
3–1

4 meetings · sets 7–3

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

#254 · 25 yrs · R

4

Juan Pablo Varillas and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 4 times since 2022; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 3–1. Varillas has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Varillas has taken 7 sets to Almeida's 3. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Bogota Challenger (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorPablo VarillasPucinelli De Almeida
Wins in straight sets72%72%
Wins a set when losing30%48%
Goes to a deciding set29%35%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite35%45%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog91%77%
Tiebreak sets won43%37%
Wins after taking set 189%84%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 168%69%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pablo Varillas 2, Pucinelli De Almeida 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Varillas

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Almeida

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Jul 10, 2026

Bogota Challenger

C Clay · Quarterfinals

63
764
Varillas

Apr 4, 2025

Campinas Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

647
75
62
Varillas

Mar 10, 2025

Santiago Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

36
63
26
Almeida

Mar 11, 2022

Santiago Challenger

C Clay · Quarterfinals

75
62
Varillas

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeVarillasAlmeida
1 or more100%82%
3 or more70%36%
5 or more50%11%
10 or more10%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricVarillasAlmeida
W-L5–216–6
Avg odds2.211.75
ROI %+49.5%+11.1%
Units P/L+3.47u+2.45u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricVarillasAlmeida
Countries12
Events14
Matches28
Distance0 mi · 0 km684 mi · 1,101 km
RouteSMRGER → GBR

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Varillas's 50%).

OpponentVarillasAlmeida
Federico Agustin Gomez
W
64
64
L
67
62
57
Dmitry Popko
W
62
46
64
W
63
46
75
Samuel Heredia
W
64
64
W
63
46
64
Alan Magadan
L
16
46
W
61
67
64
Gonzalo Villanueva
W
63
75
L
63
57
16
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
W
62
64
W
62
62
Ryan Dickerson
L
57
36
W
61
61
Franco Roncadelli
L
64
26
26
L
06
67
Alex Barrena
L
62
26
36
L
61
67
46
Pedro Boscardin Dias
L
26
67
W
76
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Varillas
LWWWLWWW
L

Mili Poljicak

San Marino Challenger · Semifinals

57
46

Aug 1

W

Timofey Skatov

San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals

64
64

Jul 31

W

Francesco Maestrelli

San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round

765
46
63

Jul 30

W

Jacopo Vasami

San Marino Challenger · 1st Round

62
62

Jul 28

L

Nicolas Mejia

Bogota Challenger · Semifinals

46
75
16

Jul 11

W

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals

63
764

Jul 10

W

Luis Carlos Alvarez

Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round

764
647
61

Jul 8

W

Bruno Fernandez

Bogota Challenger · 1st Round

26
63
64

Jul 7

Almeida
LLWLWWWL
L

Oliver Tarvet

Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round

46
46

Aug 25

L

Oliver Tarvet

Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round

26
75
46

Aug 19

W

Peter Makk

Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round

63
61

Aug 18

L

Jan Kumstat

Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals

46
75
26

Aug 15

W

Dylan Dietrich

Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals

46
63
64

Aug 14

W

Max Schoenhaus

Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round

61
63

Aug 12

W

Florian Broska

Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round

761
36
75

Aug 11

L

Federico Agustin Gomez

Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals

647
62
57

Jul 31

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ VarillasVarillas ahead↓ Almeida

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–68 matches

MetricVarillasAlmeida
Matches won57%63%
Sets won56%61%
Games won52%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageVarillasAlmeida
ATP Challenger Tour31

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceVarillasAlmeida
Clay31

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Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida FAQ

Juan Pablo Varillas leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.