Jessica Pegula vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
12 meetings · sets 16–11
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Maria Sakkari have met 12 times since 2019; Jessica Pegula leads 7–5. Their first meeting came at Eastbourne in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Pegula leads 7–4. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 16 sets to Sakkari's 11. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pegula | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessica Pegula | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 31/57 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 35/76 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 30/60 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 31/48 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 9 of 12 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 6, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
12 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 2, 2023
WTA Finals - Cancun
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 30, 2023
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 5, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 17, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 31, 2022
WTA Finals - Fort Worth
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 23, 2022
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · Final
Feb 23, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 23, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 26, 2019
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 7/21 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +10.4% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.29u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 12 | 4 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sakkari's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 26 46 | L 16 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 46 64 | L 64 16 16 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 60 | W 62 57 61 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 60 | W 63 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | L 67 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 62 63 | L 16 26 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | W 63 63 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 64 36 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 46 16 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 62 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–76 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 49% |
| Sets won | 66% | 47% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 3 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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