🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#5 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 5–4
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys have met 5 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 3–2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Berlin (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,155 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
5 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Pegula | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jessica Pegula | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pegula | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -5.5% | +68.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +10.94u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Keys's 40%).
| Opponent | Pegula | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W | L 36 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 63 62 | L |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 62 | W |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 61 | W |
| Iga Swiatek | L | L 16 26 |
| Donna Vekic | W 46 62 63 | W 62 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 63 76 | W 46 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 62 36 46 | L 76 46 26 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 16 64 63 | L 64 36 26 |
| Clara Tauson | W 63 26 64 | L 16 46 |
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Berlin ·
Jun 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Berlin ·
Jun 20
Madison Keys
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin ·
Jun 17
Kimberly Birrell
French Open ·
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Iga Swiatek
Rome WTA ·
May 13
Jessica Pegula
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–65 matches
| Metric | Pegula | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 62% |
| Sets won | 66% | 60% |
| Games won | 57% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pegula | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pegula | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
