Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5wJasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea have met 4 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Cirstea's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Cirstea 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 23, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
May 30, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 17, 2021
Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 20%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L 63 67 26 | W 60 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 36 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 57 46 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 62 26 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | W 62 60 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 60 60 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 46 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 61 76 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | W 26 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–57 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 72% |
| Sets won | 48% | 69% |
| Games won | 50% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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