Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2021; Jasmine Paolini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–0. Paolini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Cirstea's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 23, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
May 30, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 17, 2021
Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cirstea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 30%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 26 36 | L 26 64 57 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 57 46 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 62 26 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | W 62 60 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 60 60 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 46 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 61 76 |
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | W 26 63 75 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | W 75 57 61 | W 46 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–56 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 68% |
| Sets won | 53% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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