Jasmine Paolini vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJasmine Paolini
#33 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 2โ8

๐จ๐ณQinwen Zheng
#23 ยท 23 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7Title4Jasmine Paolini and Qinwen Zheng have met 4 times since 2023; Qinwen Zheng leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Zheng leads 3โ0. Zheng has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zheng leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Zheng's 8. Their most recent meeting: Qinwen Zheng won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 43% | 10/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 0, Zheng 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
๐น Frontrunner
Zheng
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 6, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Oct 11, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 14, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Jul 23, 2023
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay ยท Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ2 | 14โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | +39.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | +7.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Zheng has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Paolini's 22%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 64 67 36 | W 75 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 63 16 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 64 46 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 75 46 64 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | L 36 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | L 64 46 46 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | W 76 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing ยท Final
Oct 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anna Kalinskaya
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Han Shi
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ39 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 63% |
| Sets won | 48% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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