Jasmine Paolini vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#121 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
5wJasmine Paolini and Qinwen Zheng have met 4 times since 2023; Qinwen Zheng leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Zheng leads 3–0. Zheng has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zheng leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Zheng's 8. Their most recent meeting: Qinwen Zheng won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 0, Zheng 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 6, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 11, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 14, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 23, 2023
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -45.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zheng has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Paolini's 33%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 46 63 | L 64 46 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Solana Sierra | L 63 46 36 | W 75 46 64 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | L 36 67 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | L 64 46 46 |
| Cristina Bucsa | L 57 46 | W 76 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 64 46 36 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 60 | W 16 63 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elena Micic
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 53% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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