Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2021; Tommy Paul leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Paul leads 3–0. Across all meetings Struff has taken 2 sets to Paul's 9. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Boss Open - Stuttgart (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 12/22 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 7/27 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 1, Paul 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2023
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
May 27, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.27 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.14u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Struff's 44%).
| Opponent | Struff | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 67 76 75 42 | W 64 67 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 26 63 | W 61 36 75 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 76 60 | W 61 62 61 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 61 16 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 63 26 | L 67 76 36 76 16 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 67 67 | W 67 76 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 46 57 | W 46 63 64 |
| Zsombor Piros | W 75 76 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–56 matches
| Metric | Struff | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 69% |
| Sets won | 48% | 64% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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