Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชJan-Lennard Struff
#44 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 5โ3

๐ฆ๐ทSebastian Baez
#50 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2024; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2024 on clay. Struff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Struff has taken 5 sets to Baez's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 12/22 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 26% | 7/27 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 0, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
๐ค Servebot
Baez
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs ๐พ All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Apr 7, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ6 | 14โ6 |
| Avg odds | 3.27 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.14u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 3,066 mi ยท 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA โ MEX โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Struff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Baez's 20%).
| Opponent | Struff | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Grenier | W 60 64 | W 75 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 36 67 76 75 42 | L 64 06 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 46 | W 76 61 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 26 63 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 46 | L 63 36 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 16 63 16 | L 57 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 76 75 | L 46 06 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 67 63 26 | L 16 26 |
| Jaime Faria | L 57 67 26 | L 57 16 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 67 26 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon ยท Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 56โ64 matches
| Metric | Struff | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 55% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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