Alex de Minaur vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 7 times since 2018; Alex de Minaur leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 4–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Minaur has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 11 sets to Struff's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Struff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 12, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 19, 2019
Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 15% | 2/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +31.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | +4.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Struff's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | W 76 26 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | L 76 46 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 57 67 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 46 64 | W 36 67 76 75 42 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | W 76 76 75 |
| Nuno Borges | W 75 62 | L 46 57 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 61 61 | L 67 63 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 67 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 63 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 48% |
| Sets won | 62% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.