Alex de Minaur vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 7 times since 2018; Alex de Minaur leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 4–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Minaur has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 11 sets to Struff's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 2, Struff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 22, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 12, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 19, 2019
Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Struff's 30%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | W 36 67 76 75 42 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | L 06 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 57 26 | L 36 61 16 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | L 75 57 64 26 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 61 60 | W 76 26 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 76 | L 76 46 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 57 67 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 61 61 | L 67 63 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 50% |
| Sets won | 63% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.