Ilya Ivashka vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ilya Ivashka and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2017; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Portoroz in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–0. Berrettini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ivashka has taken 2 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at U.S. Open - New York (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 11/19 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 9/18 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 17/18 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivashka 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 5, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Aug 10, 2017
Portoroz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -30.6% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.75u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–48 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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