Ilya Ivashka vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ilya Ivashka and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2017; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Portoroz in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Berrettini leads 2–0. Berrettini has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ivashka has taken 2 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at U.S. Open - New York (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ivashka | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilya Ivashka | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 18/32 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 18/44 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 17/30 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 28/29 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ivashka 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ivashka
👑 The Complete Package
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 5, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Aug 10, 2017
Portoroz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ivashka | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilya Ivashka | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–50 matches
| Metric | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 58% |
| Sets won | 64% | 57% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ivashka | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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