Daniil Medvedev vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka have met 6 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Kazan in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. On grass courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 12 sets to Ivashka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 3, Ivashka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 16, 2022
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 10, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 2, 2016
Eckental
? Carpet · Round of 32
Mar 14, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ivashka's 0%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 64 62 | L 36 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 16 75 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 58% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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