Daniil Medvedev vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka have met 6 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Kazan in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. On grass courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 12 sets to Ivashka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 97% | 28/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 3, Ivashka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Ivashka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Medvedev and Ilya Ivashka are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 782 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 16, 2022
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 10, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 2, 2016
Eckental
? Carpet · Round of 32
Mar 14, 2016
Kazan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 15–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ivashka's 0%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 64 62 | L 36 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 16 75 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 71% |
| Sets won | 66% | 64% |
| Games won | 56% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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