Holger Rune vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 3 times since 2023; Holger Rune leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Rune leads 2–1. Rune has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rune has taken 6 sets to Nishioka's 3. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 3/6 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 1, Nishioka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 2, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 4.47 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.70u | -0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rune and Nishioka posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Rune | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 36 16 | L 62 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
George Loffhagen
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Nerman Fatic
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–20 matches
| Metric | Rune | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 70% |
| Sets won | 60% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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