Grigor Dimitrov vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Rafael Nadal have met 9 times since 2015; Rafael Nadal leads 8–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Nadal leads 4–1. On clay courts Nadal leads 4–0. Nadal has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 5 sets to Nadal's 16. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 6/11 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 1, Nadal 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 29, 2020
Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 18, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 12, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 7, 2017
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 29, 2015
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
May 7, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | - |
| ROI % | -3.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Nuno Borges
Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Bastad · Round of 16
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Bastad · Round of 32
Jul 16
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 28
Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 64
May 11
Zizou Bergs
ATP Masters 1000 Rome · Round of 128
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–27 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | - |
| Sets won | 45% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 5 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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