Grigor Dimitrov vs Rafael NadalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Rafael Nadal have met 11 times since 2015; Rafael Nadal leads 10–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2015 on clay. On hard courts Nadal leads 5–1. On clay courts Nadal leads 5–0. Nadal has won the last 8 meetings. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 5 sets to Nadal's 20. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Nadal won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Nadal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Rafael Nadal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 8 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 1, Nadal 7).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Nadal
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Apr 15, 2021
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 12, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 29, 2020
Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 28, 2020
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 18, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 12, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 7, 2017
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2016
Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 29, 2015
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
May 7, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | - |
| ROI % | -50.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.54u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 · Rubber 1
Nov 19
Novak Djokovic
Olympics - Paris · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Marton Fucsovics
Olympics - Paris · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 21
Duje Ajdukovic
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 20
Mariano Navone
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 19
Cameron Norrie
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 18
Leo Borg
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–33 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | - |
| Sets won | 46% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 4 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 6 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 5 |
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