Grigor Dimitrov vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Grigor Dimitrov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Dimitrov leads 2–1. Dimitrov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 3. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 10/14 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 1, Musetti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 18, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -50.6% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.54u | -3.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Dimitrov's 25%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | W 76 63 75 | L 63 16 26 26 |
| Arthur Fery | L 57 63 64 46 67 | W 63 63 75 |
| Jaime Faria | L 63 57 67 | W 75 62 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 62 36 | W 67 62 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 67 64 67 | W |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 46 16 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–43 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 60% |
| Sets won | 46% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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