Grigor Dimitrov vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ฌGrigor Dimitrov
#137 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 4โ3

๐ฎ๐นLorenzo Musetti
#14 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Grigor Dimitrov and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Grigor Dimitrov leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Dimitrov leads 2โ1. Dimitrov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 3. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 6/11 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 1, Musetti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
๐ค Servebot
Musetti
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฏ Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 18, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 5โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -3.7% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km |
| Route | USA | USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dimitrov's 20%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 63 57 67 | W 75 62 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 62 36 | W 67 62 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 46 16 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 27โ52 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 65% |
| Sets won | 45% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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