Grigor Dimitrov vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Grigor Dimitrov and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Grigor Dimitrov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Dimitrov leads 2–1. Dimitrov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Dimitrov has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 3. Their most recent meeting: Grigor Dimitrov won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dimitrov | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Grigor Dimitrov | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 6/11 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dimitrov 1, Musetti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 18, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dimitrov | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Grigor Dimitrov | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -3.7% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dimitrov's 20%).
| Opponent | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | L 63 57 67 | W 75 62 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 46 62 36 | W 67 62 64 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 36 | L 46 16 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 46 36 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Dalibor Svrcina
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–51 matches
| Metric | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 65% |
| Sets won | 45% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dimitrov | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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