Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2024; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 4 sets to Tsitsipas's 4. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Tsitsipas 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 6, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 31, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 22, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | -1.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tsitsipas's 40%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 67 62 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | W 64 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | L 46 63 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 26 64 62 61 | W 61 64 62 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 36 64 | W 61 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 64 67 64 | L 46 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 36 46 | L 67 67 |
| Tomas Machac | L 67 36 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 26 | W 62 75 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–54 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.