Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Jannik Sinner have met 5 times since 2022; Jannik Sinner leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 3 sets to Sinner's 9. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 0, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 13, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
May 16, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Oct 27, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 16, 2022
Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna
H Hard · Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | — |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 46 46 | W 76 76 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 | W 75 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | W 64 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 75 16 76 | W 46 63 67 62 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | W 75 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 60 46 75 | W 62 57 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | W 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 67 46 | W 61 64 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 61 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–72 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 94% |
| Sets won | 59% | 87% |
| Games won | 53% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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