Frances Tiafoe vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
8 meetings Β· sets 9β12

π¬π·Stefanos Tsitsipas
#43 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Frances Tiafoe and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 8 times since 2017; they are level 4β4. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Tsitsipas leads 4β3. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 9 sets to Tsitsipas's 12. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Tsitsipas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Mar 10, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Sep 25, 2022
Laver Cup
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Sep 25, 2022
Laver Cup - London
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Oct 28, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jul 27, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jun 28, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Nov 7, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Oct 2, 2017
Tokyo
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β5 | 18β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +20.3% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | +4.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tsitsipas's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 57 | W 46 76 61 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 62 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 36 36 57 | L 26 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 76 | W 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 46 36 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 36 76 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | W 63 64 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 Β· Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 Β· Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 58β63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 62% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 4 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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