Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Jannik Sinner have met 6 times since 2019; Jannik Sinner leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Antwerp in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 5–1. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 4 sets to Sinner's 12. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Frances Tiafoe.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 26, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 19, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Oct 27, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 30, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 14, 2019
Antwerp
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | - |
| ROI % | +23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tiafoe's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 57 | W 62 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 36 36 57 | W 63 64 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 57 36 75 63 76 | W 75 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 76 | W 62 57 64 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 64 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | W 64 63 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | W 76 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 95% |
| Sets won | 63% | 89% |
| Games won | 54% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
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