Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Jannik Sinner have met 6 times since 2019; Jannik Sinner leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Antwerp in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 5–1. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sinner leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 4 sets to Sinner's 12. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 26, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 19, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Oct 27, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 30, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 14, 2019
Antwerp
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | +37.9% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tiafoe's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 61 06 | W 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 75 | W 61 64 62 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | W 61 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 57 62 62 | W 62 62 |
| Terence Atmane | L 64 36 46 | W 64 57 60 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 64 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | W 64 63 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | W 76 76 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–71 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 94% |
| Sets won | 59% | 88% |
| Games won | 53% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
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