Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Lorenzo Musetti have met 1 time since 2025; Lorenzo Musetti leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 2/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 30, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +38.9% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.05u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Cobolli and Musetti posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 26 67 | L 67 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 46 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | W 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 76 63 | W 75 36 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 46 57 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 64 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 75 26 63 | W 64 60 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 67 16 | W 60 57 75 |
| Coleman Wong | W 75 67 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–62 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 55% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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