Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นFlavio Cobolli
#7 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
431 meeting ยท sets 0โ3

๐ฎ๐นLorenzo Musetti
#25 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
Flavio Cobolli and Lorenzo Musetti have met 1 time since 2025; Lorenzo Musetti leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
๐ค Servebot
Musetti
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 30, 2025
US Open
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 6โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi ยท 9,208 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | GBR โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cobolli's 30%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | L 46 67 06 | W 63 63 75 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 26 67 | L 67 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 46 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | W 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 76 63 | W 75 36 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 46 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 57 36 | W |
| Sebastian Korda | L 67 16 | W 60 57 75 |
| Coleman Wong | W 75 67 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ65 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 60% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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